Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.280077 0.326036 0.377274 0.438658 0.510240 0.591134 0.689570
2025-02-09 0.211810 0.273596 0.350025 0.451648 0.583469 0.749023 0.973308
2025-02-16 0.172967 0.239853 0.328678 0.455536 0.632590 0.871748 1.220755
2025-02-23 0.144646 0.212470 0.307884 0.452328 0.666342 0.973165 1.449089
2025-03-02 0.121011 0.186768 0.283975 0.438709 0.680115 1.044502 1.640433
2025-03-09 0.108842 0.175633 0.278875 0.450835 0.731923 1.176463 1.939238
2025-03-16 0.096703 0.162467 0.268321 0.452039 0.765368 1.282399 2.209316
2025-03-23 0.088039 0.153541 0.263002 0.460384 0.810562 1.411707 2.534400
2025-03-30 0.077886 0.140601 0.249099 0.451790 0.824771 1.488986 2.777506
2025-04-06 0.069948 0.130441 0.238570 0.447432 0.845281 1.578805 3.053969
2025-04-13 0.063815 0.122734 0.231368 0.447983 0.874406 1.687068 3.378586
2025-04-20 0.060997 0.120873 0.234640 0.468594 0.944105 1.879952 3.894223
2025-04-27 0.058185 0.118813 0.237541 0.489390 1.018022 2.092715 4.485414
2025-05-04 0.054815 0.115232 0.237065 0.503402 1.080210 2.290438 5.075165
2025-05-11 0.050851 0.109896 0.232325 0.507758 1.122328 2.451217 5.606845
2025-05-18 0.046612 0.103430 0.224416 0.504174 1.146476 2.575985 6.074701
2025-05-25 0.041893 0.095321 0.212006 0.488965 1.142393 2.637269 6.403187
2025-06-01 0.039897 0.093086 0.212224 0.502507 1.206302 2.861482 7.153923
2025-06-08 0.037198 0.088891 0.207511 0.503852 1.241333 3.022201 7.770803
2025-06-15 0.035281 0.086309 0.206206 0.513172 1.296903 3.239227 8.561850
2025-06-22 0.032361 0.080940 0.197674 0.503574 1.303798 3.336518 9.053597
2025-06-29 0.029996 0.076674 0.191327 0.498706 1.322204 3.465315 9.648915
2025-07-06 0.028142 0.073486 0.187292 0.499322 1.355133 3.636109 10.385509